Category: ‘The Housing Market’

Hot and Upcoming Real Estate Markets 2018

May 18, 2018 Posted by Andre Hemmersbach

A great way to find hot up and coming real estate markets is to see where people are moving and it’s as simple as supply and demand…remember Econ 101?

According to United Van Lines, which has been tracking moving statistics for 40 years, retirees left sand and sunny beaches for western mountains. See the “Annual National Movers Study” below.

Map of Migration

Migration Map 2017

Moving In Real Estate Markets

The top inbound states of 2017 were:
1. Vermont
2. Oregon
3. Idaho
4. Nevada
5. South Dakota
6. Washington
7. South Carolina
8. North Carolina
9. Colorado
10. Alabama

As a region, the Mountain West continues to increase in popularity with 54 percent of moves being inbound. The West is represented on the high-inbound list by Oregon (65 percent), Idaho (63 percent), Nevada (61 percent) Washington (59 percent), and Colorado (56 percent). Of moves to Oregon, the highest ranking western state, a new job or company transfer (49 percent) and proximity to family (24 percent) led the reasons for most inbound moves.

The southern states also saw a high number of people moving in with 52 percent of total moves being inbound. United Van Lines found the top reasons for moving south included company transfer/new job, retirement and proximity to family.

The Northeast continues to experience a moving deficit with New Jersey (63 percent outbound), New York (61 percent) and Connecticut (57 percent) making the list of top outbound states for the third consecutive year. Massachusetts (56 percent) also joined the top outbound list this year.

New to the 2017 top inbound list are Colorado at No. 9 and Alabama at No. 10 with 56 and 55 percent inbound moves, respectively

 

Moving Out Real Estate Markets

The top outbound states for 2017 were:
1. Illinois
2. New Jersey
3. New York
4. Connecticut
5. Kansas
6. Massachusetts
7. Ohio
8. Kentucky
9. Utah
10. Wisconsin

Illinois (63 percent) moved up one spot on the outbound list to No. 1, ranking in the top five for the past nine years. New Jersey previously held the top spot for 5 consecutive years. New additions to the 2017 top outbound list include Massachusetts (56 percent) and Wisconsin (55 percent)

Purchasing a rental property or a second home in a hot and up coming real estate markets is a good bet if you are looking for capital  appreciation. If you follow some basic real estate investment guidelines, do a little homework and work with professionals, it could pay off in a big way! Call me to discuss winning strategies for purchasing investment properties.

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Hot Up-and-Coming Real Estate Markets

March 21, 2017 Posted by Andre Hemmersbach

A great way to find hot up and coming real estate markets is to see where people are moving and it’s as simple as supply and demand…remember Econ 101?

According to United Van Lines, which has been tracking moving statistics for 40 years, retirees left sand and sunny beaches for western mountains. See the “Annual National Movers Study” below.

US map of hot up and coming real estate markets

United Van Lines Movers Study

Moving In Real Estate Markets

The top inbound states of 2016 were:
1. South Dakota
2. Vermont
3. Oregon
4. Idaho
5. South Carolina
6. Washington
7. District of Columbia
8. North Carolina
9. Nevada
10. Arizona

 

South Dakota is the most popular moving destination of 2016 with nearly 68 percent of moves to and from the state being inbound, furthermore, the state has continued to climb the ranks, increasing inbound migration by 23 percent over the past five years. New to the 2016 top inbound list are South Dakota at No. 1 and Arizona at No. 10 with 68 and 57 percent inbound moves, respectively.

 

Moving Out Real Estate Markets

The top outbound states for 2016 were:
1. New Jersey
2. Illinois
3. New York
4. Connecticut
5. Kansas
6. Kentucky
7. West Virginia
8. Ohio
9. Utah
10. Pennsylvania

In addition to the Northeast, Illinois (63 percent) moved up one spot on the outbound list, to no. 2, ranking in the top five for the last eight years. New additions to the 2016 top outbound list include Kentucky (58 percent), Utah (56 percent) and Pennsylvania (56 percent).

Purchasing a rental property or a second home in a hot and up coming real estate markets is a good bet if you are looking for capital  appreciation. If you follow some basic real estate investment guidelines, do a little homework and work with professionals, it could pay off in a big way! Call me to discuss winning strategies for purchasing investment properties.

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Lenders Only Look At Four Things Before Approving Your Home Loan.

April 20, 2015 Posted by Andre Hemmersbach

Getting a home loan is not as tough as rumor has it! The mortgage approval process simply boils down to the four basic items explained in the following few paragraphs. First time home buyers and even repeat purchasers need not be bewildered by the formulas and methods used by lenders, you just need someone to hold your hand and an expert that knows the home loan rules!

Lenders are looking for what I call the four “C”s and once you understand the concept of these basic requirements everything else starts to make sense.

  • Cash – Lenders look for “skin-in-the-game” as a way to make sure that you have a financial incentive to continue to make the mortgage payment when things get tough. The larger your down payment or equity the less they have to worry about the borrower walking away from the home loan. Minimum down payment requirements range from as little as 0% to as much as 35%

    You will need a home loan to enjoy this light filled room

    Get a home loan and then sit back and enjoy

  • Capacity – Another way of saying income. The lender wants to make sure that the borrowers have sufficient stable income to handle the mortgage, property taxes, insurance and other debts. Key words in the previous statement are SUFFICIENT and STABLE. Lenders will use a combination of pay stubs, W-2 and other documents and compare those to the only reliable source available in our financial system to prove their legitimacy….the IRS and your tax returns. The minimum requirements for income vary widely by program; lender and other factors so make sure you are working with someone that understands the rules.
  • Credit – Simply put – how have you handled other financial promises of repayment in the past? Nowadays it is easy for a lender to figure this out with a copy of your credit report and a number called a credit score. A credit score is numerical representation of your credit risk. Over 700 is good below 620 not so good. By the way there are easy ways to increase your credit score. (Call me to discuss)
  • Collateral – The property you wish to purchase. Lenders are looking for collateral (their security) to be in good shape and free of any health and safety issues. Why not a complete “fixer upper” see the cash bullet above. The lender wishes to protect a borrower from any unforeseen repairs that the borrower cannot afford. Besides the last thing a lender wants to do is to have to fix up a property after having to foreclose on a home loan.

I have been helping people finance their real estate for over 25 years. Whether you are a seasoned real estate investor or first time home buyer my experience and knowledge will insure that your home loan goes smoothly! I would be happy to meet with you for a free consultation to discuss your plans to purchase a home.

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Home Affordability Via Loan Rates

April 9, 2015 Posted by Andre Hemmersbach

Interest rates are the key factor in home affordability, not the home sales price. Home buyers mistakenly think that high real estate prices are keeping them from affording a mortgage payment, however, the biggest variable in home buyers affording a home are mortgage interest rates. (See chart below)

Given an annual income of $70,000 between a husband and wife, at the industry standard of 38% debt-to-income (DTI) ratio a couple could afford a mortgage loan of $525,700 at a rate of 3%. For every 1% increase in mortgage rates the borrower’s affordability drops another 10%. If rates were to merely raise 3% a borrower could not afford more than a home loan of $369,700.

Chart

Rate Affordability Chart

 

Please call me for a free consultation to see what size home loan you qualify for.

 

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Payment Increases on Equity Lines

August 14, 2014 Posted by Andre Hemmersbach

During the last five years millions of homeowners have taken advantage of the government’s Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) or in the case of mortgages that did not fall under HAMP,  lenders’ proprietary modification programs. These Loan Modification programs (Loan Mods) were initiated to offer relief to desperate homeowners who were facing foreclosure due to various circumstances through temporary rate reductions or interest rate abatements. The key term in the above statement is “temporary”!  Loan Mods along with Home Equity Lines Of Credit (HELOC), a mortgage that is similar to a credit card, will see upward rate and payment adjustments, sending some homeowners back to the brink of financial crisis. (More on HELOCs later.)

To qualify for a Loan Modification borrowers were asked to submit an income and asset package to the lender proving a hardship and current stable income. If the borrower qualified, the lender dropped the interest rate as much as 3 or 4 percentage points and renegotiated a monthly mortgage payment that would represent about 45% of the borrower’s monthly gross income. Via the modification agreement, the borrower usually promised to return to the original rate and terms of the mortgage through 1% annual increases after a five year period.

The Real Estate Bubble burst in late 2008 and the loan modification programs started to gain momentum in 2009 and hit full stride in 2010 through 2012, therefore the first round of the notices for payment increases via the loan modification agreements are starting to be sent out.

Borrowers facing this issue today may have some additional alternatives that were not available to them back in the middle of the recession. At least in Southern California, equity positions have seen healthy gains and the job/income outlook have improved slightly. Options homeowners may consider are: refinancing to current low mortgage rates (albeit at higher rates than their modified rate but lower than their final rate), making the new higher payments via their modification agreement, selling their home to downsize or rent.

As a whole, HELOCs mortgage payments will also be increasing. The basic issue is that the 10 year interest only introductory period, typical in these mortgage products, is now coming due. Homeowner’s with balances on their HELOC will on the 10th anniversary move to a fully amortized 20 year loan and experience a fairly large payment increase. I have previously blogged about the dangers of HELOCs and you can read the remainder of the article at http://cahomehunters.com/real-estate-time-bomb/.

Bottom-line…. homeowners with these types of mortgage products who do not have the ability to afford the payment increases, may have to make some difficult decisions in the near future.

If I can be of assistance in giving you or a friend advice or direction with these type of products please let me know, as I would be happy to help them.

Also see: http://newsroom.transunion.com/press-releases/transunion-study-identifies-framework-for-managing-1136135#.U-0un_ldV8E

http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/business/2014/01/29/rate-increases-for-hamp-loan-modifications-2009/4964701/

http://www.pwc.com/us/en/consumer-finance/publications/avoiding-default-risk-mortgage-modification-resets.jhtml

 

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