Real Estate Values in 2014

December 20, 2013 Posted by Andre Hemmersbach

Being in the Real Estate industry gives me access to various   tools, reports and statistics that most individuals cannot find. That being said you can find a chart or statistic to make a case for or against almost anything. The big question on many of my client’s mind is where Real Estate prices go from here. Our friends at John Burns Real Estate Consulting do a marvelous job of sifting through the numbers on a state by state and county by county level to come up with relevant, timely and meaningful predictions about matters in real estate.

I found the recent information prepared by JBREC to be extremely interesting as it charts the historical ratio between the median housing payments to income.   A shorter way of describing this chart is an affordability ratio. As home payments get more expensive via higher rates, median home prices or a drop in income it is reasonable to expect a reversal in demand. The historical mean of the average housing payment to income ratio is close to 32.5%. The current ratio through October 2013 is 28.4% based on a 4.1% 30 year fixed rate.

MedianHousingPayment_to_IncomeRatios

If this chart holds true we would need another 13% increase in the national sales price or mortgage rates to go to 6% before we hit the historical mean of 32.5% in affordability.

Please call me to discuss your plans in purchasing a home or Real Estate investment in 2014. Unless you are paying cash, getting all your ducks in a row early will save you time, money and headaches!

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About Andre Hemmersbach

Andre Hemmersbach has been working in the mortgage banking business for over 20 year helping people successfully finance their real estate holdings. He can be reached at (310) 540-1330 #137.

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